IHM / Markit刚刚发布7月份GDP:
Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment (dark blue), Bloomberg consensus for August employment as of 9/1 (light blue square), industrial production (red), personal income excluding transfers in Ch.2012$ (green), manufacturing and trade sales in Ch.2012$ (black), and monthly GDP in Ch.2012$ (pink), all log normalized to 2019M02=0. Source: BLS, Federal Reserve, BEA, via FRED, Macroeconomic Advisers (9/1 release), NBER, and author’s calculations.
非农就业人数(深蓝色),彭博8月就业共识(截至9/1)(浅蓝色正方形),工业生产(红色),个人收入(不包括2012年美元转移支付)(绿色),制造业和贸易销售2012年第2季度(黑色)的美元,以及2012年第3季度(粉红色)的每月GDP,所有对数均归一化为2019M02 = 0。